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Where are the 100,000 mile credit-card bonus offers?

Where are the 100,000 mile credit-card bonus offers?

Million Mile SecretsWhere are the 100,000 mile credit-card bonus offers?Million Mile Secrets Team

Update: One or more card offers in this post are no longer available. Check our Hot Deals for the latest offers.

They’re on the way!

Million Mile Secrets reader Laurent (thanks!) emailed me with a a tip:

 Hi Daraius,

 I was talking to a US Card VP from Capital One and he told me that in March, there will be a similar match miles opportunity for the Venture card.

Last March, Capital One ran a very lucrative promotion where you could earn up to 110,000 miles and which was one of the 16 cards which earned me more than 1 million miles and points in 2011.

I wasn’t very surprised when I read Laurent’s note (but was very thankful for the tip), because as I wrote before,  I have been expecting the return of the mega credit card offers.  But it was nice to get another inkling that the deal was returning.  Mommy Points has also written on the possibility of the Capital One Match My Miles promotion returning this year and there is a FlyerTalk thread on the same topic.

There are already tons of great offers out there now – including 12+ cards offering 50,000 miles or points as a sign-up bonus in the Hot Deals tab.  I just can’t apply for them fast enough!

Prediction

I predict that we will see a few mega credit card offers between February and June this year!

Here’s why, based on first hand experience working in both the finance and marketing departments of large companies, talking with business school classmates who work in banks, and my analysis.

Budget Cuts

For better or for worse, companies are eager to meet Wall Street’s (The Street’s) profitability and revenue targets.  The real life implication of this is that companies have many “budget cuts” where dollars earmarked for spending against marketing or other programs are cut and used to pad the bottom line (profit) in order to meet The Street’s target.  That’s a terrible way to run a business, but that’s a discussion for a different blog.

I’ve been on both sides of budget cuts – as the finance guy who had to be the “grim reaper” and tell the marketing groups that their funds were cut.  And more recently as the marketing guy who’s not too happy that the bean counters have cut funds for my projects.

Budget cuts usually don’t happen in the beginning of the year, but almost certainly towards the middle and end of the year.  That’s why there is a much higher chance of the credit card mega offers happening in the 1st half of the year than in the 2nd half of the year.

Of course, you could see credit card mega bonuses in the 2nd half of the year if the promotion is high priority and can be protected from budget cuts.  Or if the industry landscape has changed sufficiently where mega bonuses become a necessity (the jury’s still out on that).

It also takes time to develop these mega offers and the associated advertising and promotion which accompanies them.  That’s why most promotional campaigns don’t happen until after January.

Credit Card Mega Bonus History

In general, I don’t worry about missing a 50,000 mile or point sign up bonus because they almost always re-appear in a few months.  Or often times the information suggesting that they are disappearing is incorrect (think Chase Ink Bold, Chase Southwest 50,000 point, & Citi Thank You Premier with 50,000 points).

But I will jump on a 100,000 mile or point offer right away, because they either don’t return or take many months to return.

Here’s a brief history of prior credit card mega bonuses (not including targeted offers):

1.   Capital One Match My Miles.   In March 2011, the Capital One Venture card offered a 10,000 mile sign-up bonus, but you could match up to 100,000 miles from your other frequent flyer accounts for a total of 110,000 miles.  The offer was supposed to last until May, but Capital One pulled the offer in April (after just 1 month) once the 1 billion mile cap on miles was reached.

I’ve cancelled my Capital One Venture card and I’m going to try to get the sign-up bonus again if the offer returns this year.

2.   British Airways 100,000 miles.   The Chase British Airways card offered 100,000 miles in November 2009 and in May 2011. The offer lasted for about 2 months the first time and for just about a month last year.  There was also a targeted version available in December last year.

British Airways points are extremely valuable for short distance flights and to redeem for American Airline flights within North & South America since they don’t charge fuel surcharges and the awards are reasonably priced for those awards.  And it isn’t a bad choice for a free business or first class flight to Europe if you’re willing to pay ~$700 in fuel surcharges for a roundtrip flight.

I’d certainly sign-up for it again (if I could get the bonus again), because 100,000 British Airways points is 2 coach or 1 business class ticket to South America, a business class ticket to Europe (with ~ $700 fuel surcharges) or lots of short flights within the US.

3.   American Airlines 75,000 & 100,000 miles.   Citi offered 75,000 miles on the Citi American Airlines card from about August 2010 up to October 2011.  The offer officially expired in February 2011, but the application page was still live until October 2011.  Citi also offered a 100,000 mile card (for less time) which gave you 50,000 miles after spending $750 within 4 months and another 50,000 miles after spending $10,000 within the 1st year.

Even better, you could get 2 cards at the same time using the 2-browser trick for a haul of 150,000 American Airline miles.  This was clearly the best credit card deal which I’ve seen, and I suspect that most readers agree judging by the 500+ comments & 50+0facebook likes on that blog post.  I can’t wait for a similar offer to return because you can get a new set of Citi American Airline personal cards every 18+ months since your last application.

I’ve always been surprised when folks ranked the Chase Sapphire Preferred as their #1 deal despite offering only a 50,000 [Now 40,000] sign up bonus.

Bottom Line:  I don’t see credit card sign-up bonuses decreasing.  At no other time have we had so many 50,000 point [now 40,000] sign-up bonuses at one time with the promise of more yet to come!

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Editorial Note: We're the Million Mile Secrets team. And we're proud of our content, opinions and analysis, and of our reader's comments. These haven’t been reviewed, approved or endorsed by any of the airlines, hotels, or credit card issuers which we often write about. And that’s just how we like it! :)

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Cap1 100k promo is showing up now-

http://www.capitaloneventure.com/

I read the terms and conditions, and I'm not going to be able to participate. Wife isn't eligible, she was helping me make spend on the cards we signed up for under my name 🙂 and T+C indicate they only accept 2011 year end statements from the account holder not an authorized user. Oh well-time to restrategize the next card churn.

Author
Million Mile Secrets

@BothofUs2 - Thanks for letting me know! Some banks don't break out the spending of an authorized user in the year end statements.

@Doug-

I believe you can ask them to send you a check for the cash value of the points you have.

Rookie question: If I have Cap One points and would like to cancel the card so as to be able to apply for the 100k if it comes around, I have to spend the points before I cancel or else I'll lose them, right?

Author
Million Mile Secrets

@Doug - Corinne beat me to it! You should spend the points before cancelling or convert to a card where you can still use the points. Folks on FlyerTalk are speculating that you may not be eligible for the new offer if you took part last year. But we won't know until the offer comes out.

@Corinne - Thanks so much for helping out!

Dariaus,

if the Cap1 offer comes back I would definitely be applying for it this time. i was aware of the offer last time but i wasnt in collecting miles and points back then, so didn't bother much...

anyhow coming to my question what type of statement would cap1 accept for matching miles??

(the highest balance in the mile section I have now is southwest 50k and I can produce July 2011 Delta statement for 150k when i transferred 100k points from Amex with 50k bonus points)

Author
Million Mile Secrets

@Vikas - I believe that they would accept a statement from select airlines within the past 3 to 4 months. I wouldn't worry about it now - and even if your statement has 50K miles, that's still 50K free matched miles (assuming they run it the same way last year).

Thanks for all the great information. I had never heard of churning credit cards a month ago and I'm already hooked. My question is about a capital one platinum card I have had since 2006 that I rarely use and will never use again. It is my oldest card where I am the primary cardholder, but I am an authorized user on a card opened in 2001. I want to have a chance at the capital one miles match and wondered if I should cancel my platinum card before or after applying for the venture card or not worry about it and just trying to upgrade to the venture card if they run the promotion.

Author
Million Mile Secrets

@Darren - I don't recommend cancelling your oldest card. But you may be able to apply for the Venture card (if they run the promotion) despite having another Capital One card.

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